UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Featherweight
VS
53%
Allen
47%
Chikadze
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Arnold
Arnold Allen
"Almighty"
214
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Giga
Giga Chikadze
"Ninja"
156
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Allen

This is a genuine toss-up — Allen at 53% vs Chikadze at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Chikadze throws more volume but Allen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Allen
Chikadze
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+74"
32+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Chikadze
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.3
54.4
52.8
Performance Avg
49.5
35
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
75
Allen
Chikadze
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
6
7
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
32Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Allen
Chikadze
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Allen
Chikadze
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Allen
Chikadze
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Allen
Chikadze
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
38%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Allen
Chikadze
Striking3.3 / 5.1Volume6.9 / 6.3Grappling2.9 / 1.5Wrestling2.0 / 1.1Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Allen
Strike Zones
Chikadze
Allen
Attacking
25HEAD7BODY0LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Chikadze
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD7BODY0LEGS32 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (78% of attacks) — Chikadze absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Chikadze targets the head (55% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Allen
RND
Chikadze
0/0R00/0

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W4.6W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.6W6.6L6.8L5.5W7.1L5.7W2015-062019-032022-032024-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Chikadze · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5W5.7W6.0L4.7W6.9L6.3L4.9L2019-092020-102021-082024-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Allen · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

Chikadze · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Kevin VallejosRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Calvin KattarRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Arnold Allen · Giga Chikadze
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