UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Featherweight
VS
53%
Allen
47%
Chikadze
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Allen
This is a genuine toss-up — Allen at 53% vs Chikadze at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Chikadze throws more volume but Allen connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Allen
Chikadze
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
70"
Reach
+74"
32+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Allen
Chikadze
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.3
54.4
52.8
Performance Avg
49.5
35
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
75
Allen
Chikadze
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
48%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
6
7
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
32Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Allen
Chikadze
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.9
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Allen
Chikadze
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
12/21 fights
Allen
Chikadze
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Allen
Chikadze
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
38%
2
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Allen
Chikadze
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
AllenChikadze
Strike Zones
Allen
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedChikadze
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Allen targets the head (78% of attacks) — Chikadze absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Chikadze targets the head (55% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Allen
RND
Chikadze
0/0R00/0
Allen · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Chikadze · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Allen · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
Chikadze · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin VallejosRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Calvin KattarRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

