METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Las Vegas, USA
11 Jan 2025
Flyweight
VS
47%
Johnson
53%
Bunes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:04
★ Official Result
Felipe BuneswinsSubmissionR1 · 2:04
def. Jose Johnson · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bunes
→
Actual result
Bunes wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 47% vs Bunes at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonBunes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Bunes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'7"
71"+
Reach
69"
31+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Bunes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.8
47.4
37.0
Performance Avg
42.4
45
Quality of Victory
54
43
Momentum Score
29
Johnson
Bunes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
7.8
0.5
Style: Volume
0.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Johnson
Bunes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Bunes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/23 fights
Johnson
Bunes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
29
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Johnson
Bunes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Bunes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
JohnsonBunes
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBunes
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (38% of attacks) — Bunes absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Bunes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Bunes
0/0R00/0
Johnson · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Felipe BunesSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Asu AlmabayevDecision
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W · Sub · R3
Chad AnheligerSubmission
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L · Sub · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
Bunes · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Edgar ChairezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Rafael EstevamDecision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Jose JohnsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · KO · R2
Joshua VanKO/TKO
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