UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Barueri, Brazil
20 Dec 2014
Middleweight
VS
46%
Miranda
54%
Collier
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
VM
Vitor Miranda
"Lex Luthor"
12 – 5
6'1"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 22
JC
Jake Collier
"The Prototype"
13 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Collier

This is a genuine toss-up — Miranda at 46% vs Collier at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Miranda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.

Striking split: Collier throws more volume but Miranda connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Miranda
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miranda
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.3
26.7
51.1
Performance Avg
36.4
57
Quality of Victory
37
78
Momentum Score
45
Miranda
Collier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
43%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
11
4
Body
4
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
12Distance13
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Miranda
Collier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miranda
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
2
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Miranda
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Miranda
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Miranda
Collier
Striking10.0 / 2.7Volume0.9 / 5.5Grappling0.0 / 3.0Wrestling0.0 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure8.3 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Miranda
Strike Zones
Collier
Miranda
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY4LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Collier
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY4LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Miranda targets the head (43% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (73% of attacks) — Miranda absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Miranda
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0

Miranda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.0W5.2W5.2W5.5L6.3L5.5L2014-052015-082016-052018-07
WinLossTrend

Collier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W3.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W6.2L3.8L6.5L6.5L2014-122017-042021-062023-042023-09
WinLossTrend

Miranda · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Abu AzaitarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R2
Marcelo GuimaraesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · KO · R2
Clint HesterRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08

Collier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Vitor Miranda · Jake Collier
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