UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Women's Strawweight
VS
38%
Paula
62%
Frey
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Frey
Frey holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Paula has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Paula has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Frey has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Paula
Frey
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
67"+
Reach
65"
30+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Paula
Frey
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
22.4
25.0
Performance Avg
25.0
25
Quality of Victory
25
17
Momentum Score
45
Paula
Frey
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Paula
Frey
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Paula
Frey
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
8/21 fights
Paula
Frey
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
45
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Paula
Frey
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Paula
Frey
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
PaulaFrey
Strike Zones
Paula
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedFrey
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Paula targets the head (50% of attacks) — Frey absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Frey targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Paula absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Paula
RND
Frey
0/0R00/0
Paula · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Frey · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Paula · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Maria OliveiraRating 5.5Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · 2022-02
L · KO · R1
Cheyanne VlismasRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Jinh Yu FreyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
Frey · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Viktoriia DudakovaRating 6.2Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · KO · R1
Polyana VianaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Ashley YoderRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07