UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo
Norfolk, USA
29 Feb 2020
Women's Featherweight
VS
92%
Spencer
8%
Fairn
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Spencer
Spencer is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Spencer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 78 points.
Striking split: Fairn throws more volume but Spencer connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Fairn has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Spencer
Fairn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
68"
Reach
+72"
35+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spencer
Fairn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.9
3.7
67.0
Performance Avg
0.0
78
Quality of Victory
0
85
Momentum Score
0
Spencer
Fairn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.1
60%
Strike Accuracy
33%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
12
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance12
1Clinch1
30Ground0
Spencer
Fairn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Spencer
Fairn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Spencer
Fairn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Spencer
Fairn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spencer
Fairn
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SpencerFairn
Strike Zones
Spencer
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedFairn
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spencer targets the head (95% of attacks) — Fairn absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Fairn targets the head (92% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spencer
RND
Fairn
0/0R00/0
Spencer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Fairn · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Spencer · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Leah LetsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R1
Zarah FairnRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Cristiane JustinoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
Fairn · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Josiane NunesRating 6.3Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R1
Felicia SpencerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · 2019-10