UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
San Antonio, USA
13 Sept 2025
Bantamweight
VS
61%
Luna
39%
Le
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Luna
Luna holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Le has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Luna has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Le has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Luna
Le
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
74"+
Reach
70"
21+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luna
Le
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.8
45.3
65.5
Performance Avg
39.7
43
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
36
Luna
Le
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.7
1.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
44%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
9
1
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance10
3Clinch2
3Ground0
Luna
Le
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luna
Le
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Luna
Le
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Luna
Le
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luna
Le
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
LunaLe
Strike Zones
Luna
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedLe
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luna targets the head (87% of attacks) — Le absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Le targets the head (75% of attacks) — Luna absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luna
RND
Le
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Luna · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Le · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Luna · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Angel PachecoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Quang LeRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
Le · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Santiago LunaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Gaston BolanosRating 5.4Submission
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L · KO · R3
Xiao LongRating 4.8KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6Decision
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