UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker
Las Vegas, USA
27 Jun 2020
Catch Weight
VS
59%
Woodson
41%
Erosa
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:44
Sean
Sean Woodson
"The Sniper"
13 – 2
6'2"78" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Julian
Julian Erosa
"Juicy J"
31 – 14
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Woodson

This is a genuine toss-up — Woodson at 59% vs Erosa at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Erosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Woodson's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Erosa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Woodson
Erosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
74"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Woodson
Erosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.1
39.6
52.1
Performance Avg
46.2
35
Quality of Victory
44
84
Momentum Score
26
Woodson
Erosa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
2.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
13
3
Body
3
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
21Distance18
1Clinch3
1Ground0
Woodson
Erosa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodson
Erosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
7
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
18/45 fights
Woodson
Erosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
26
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Woodson
Erosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Woodson
Erosa
Striking4.4 / 3.2Volume7.3 / 3.7Grappling1.7 / 4.4Wrestling1.2 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 4.4Pressure4.3 / 6.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
Woodson
Strike Zones
Erosa
Woodson
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD3BODY5LEGS21 absorbed
Erosa
Attacking
13HEAD3BODY5LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Woodson targets the head (83% of attacks) — Erosa absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Erosa targets the head (62% of attacks) — Woodson absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Woodson
RND
Erosa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Woodson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W4.2L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.3W4.7W6.3W4.7L2019-102021-112024-052025-04
WinLossTrend

Erosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.8L1.5L7.0L4.7L6.6W5.7W1.7L6.3W4.5W4.6W1.7L2.8L5.1W5.6W5.5W6.7L3.9L2015-122020-062022-092025-042026-03
WinLossTrend

Woodson · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Dan IgeRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Fernando PadillaRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Dennis BuzukjaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

Erosa · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Lerryan DouglasRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Darren ElkinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Christian RodriguezRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo RamosRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

News & Media

Sean Woodson · Julian Erosa
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