UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson
Las Vegas, USA
8 May 2021
Middleweight
VS
74%
Park
26%
Nchukwi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Park
Park is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Park throws more volume but Nchukwi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Park's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nchukwi has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Park
Nchukwi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
+77"
35
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Park
Nchukwi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
20.4
47.9
Performance Avg
28.3
34
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
25
Park
Nchukwi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.3
54%
Strike Accuracy
58%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
2
1
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch0
20Ground0
Park
Nchukwi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Park
Nchukwi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
52
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
6/10 fights
Park
Nchukwi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
25
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Park
Nchukwi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Park
Nchukwi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
ParkNchukwi
Strike Zones
Park
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedNchukwi
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Park targets the head (96% of attacks) — Nchukwi absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Nchukwi targets the body (57% of attacks) — Park absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Park
RND
Nchukwi
0/0R00/0
Park · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Nchukwi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Park · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ikram AliskerovRating 7.2Decision
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UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05