UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Light Heavyweight
VS
33%
Santos
67%
Ankalaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ankalaev
Ankalaev holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Santos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Ankalaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ankalaev has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Santos
Ankalaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
76"+
Reach
75"
42
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Ankalaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.2
66.0
54.0
Performance Avg
59.9
51
Quality of Victory
43
91
Momentum Score
100
Santos
Ankalaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
59%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
11 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
2
Body
10
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance6
1Clinch9
0Ground0
Santos
Ankalaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Ankalaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/33 fights
Chin rating based on
16/23 fights
Santos
Ankalaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
Santos
Ankalaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
79%
50%
11
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Ankalaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
SantosAnkalaev
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedAnkalaev
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Ankalaev absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Ankalaev targets the body (67% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Ankalaev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Ankalaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Jamahal HillRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
W · Dec · R5
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.6Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Glover TeixeiraRating 3.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
Ankalaev · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraRating 6.6Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 4.6Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Johnny WalkerUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10