UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2011
Featherweight
VS
27%
Hominick
73%
Jung
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jung
Jung is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jung has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Hominick throws more volume but Jung connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jung has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hominick
Jung
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
+72"
43
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hominick
Jung
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
44.6
44.0
Performance Avg
57.1
45
Quality of Victory
56
45
Momentum Score
78
Hominick
Jung
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Hominick
Jung
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hominick
Jung
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
10
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/32 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Hominick
Jung
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
78
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Hominick
Jung
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
86%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hominick
Jung
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.9
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
HominickJung
Strike Zones
Hominick
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedJung
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jung targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hominick absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hominick
RND
Jung
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hominick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Jung · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Hominick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pablo GarzaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Eddie YaginRating 5.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
George RoopRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
Jung · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Max HollowayRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Dec · R5
Dan IgeRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R5
Brian OrtegaRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
W · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12