UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Lightweight
VS
29%
Taisumov
71%
Ferreira
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MT
Mairbek Taisumov
"Beckan"
27 – 6
5'9"73" reachOrthodox37 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 23
Diego
Diego Ferreira
19 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'9"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ferreira

Ferreira is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ferreira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Ferreira has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Taisumov
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
73"
Reach
+74"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Taisumov
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
55.1
60.3
Performance Avg
50.7
49
Quality of Victory
45
71
Momentum Score
87
Taisumov
Ferreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
44%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
48
1
Body
12
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
14Distance62
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Taisumov
Ferreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Taisumov
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
6
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/33 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Taisumov
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
87
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Taisumov
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
70%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Taisumov
Ferreira
Striking8.7 / 6.2Volume3.8 / 3.6Grappling0.7 / 2.3Wrestling0.5 / 1.6Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure7.3 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Taisumov
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Taisumov
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
48HEAD12BODY4LEGS64 absorbed
Ferreira
Attacking
48HEAD12BODY4LEGS64 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Taisumov targets the head (93% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (75% of attacks) — Taisumov absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Taisumov
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0

Taisumov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.2W5.0W5.0W4.5W6.5L2014-012015-012017-092019-09
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.2W6.5L2.8L4.5W5.4W5.3W4.5W4.5W5.2W6.5L2.8L3.8L5.3W6.1W7.0L3.6L2014-062018-022021-022025-012025-09
WinLossTrend

Taisumov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · KO · R1
Felipe SilvaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · KO · R1
Damir HadzovicRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
W · KO · R2
Alan PatrickRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06

Ferreira · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander HernandezRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Grant DawsonRating 7
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R3
Mateusz RebeckiRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · KO · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

News & Media

Mairbek Taisumov · Diego Ferreira
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