UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
22%
Mazany
78%
Chiasson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:49
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Chiasson
Chiasson is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chiasson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Mazany has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mazany's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chiasson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Mazany
Chiasson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+72"
37
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Mazany
Chiasson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
61.5
32.5
Performance Avg
53.0
38
Quality of Victory
50
30
Momentum Score
96
Mazany
Chiasson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
15
6
Body
9
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
13Distance18
1Clinch3
0Ground4
Mazany
Chiasson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mazany
Chiasson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
58
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/13 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Mazany
Chiasson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
96
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · Sub · R1
Mazany
Chiasson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mazany
Chiasson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
MazanyChiasson
Strike Zones
Mazany
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedChiasson
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mazany targets the head (43% of attacks) — Chiasson absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Chiasson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Mazany absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mazany
RND
Chiasson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mazany · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Chiasson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Mazany · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Shanna YoungRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · KO · R2
Priscila CachoeiraRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R3
Rachael OstovichRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · KO · R1
Julia AvilaRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Macy ChiassonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
Chiasson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
W · R2
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 4.9UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Pannie KianzadRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03