UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Las Vegas, USA
29 Oct 2011
Featherweight
VS
47%
Griffin
53%
Palaszewski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Palaszewski
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 47% vs Palaszewski at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Palaszewski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Striking split: Palaszewski throws more volume but Griffin connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin
Palaszewski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+70"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Griffin
Palaszewski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
18.3
42.3
Performance Avg
46.0
32
Quality of Victory
60
75
Momentum Score
36
Griffin
Palaszewski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
28%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
16
1
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Griffin
Palaszewski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Palaszewski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
84
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
4/53 fights
Griffin
Palaszewski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
36
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Griffin
Palaszewski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Palaszewski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
GriffinPalaszewski
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedPalaszewski
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Palaszewski absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Palaszewski targets the head (94% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Palaszewski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Palaszewski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Griffin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
Palaszewski · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Cole MillerRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · Dec · R3
Hatsu HiokiRating 5.5Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02
W · KO · R1
Tyson GriffinRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10