★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Toronto, Canada
22 Sept 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
76%
Jones
24%
Belfort
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 0:54
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jones
Jones is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 49 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Belfort throws more volume but Jones connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Belfort has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jones
Belfort
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
84"+
Reach
74"
38+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Jones
Belfort
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
21.9
74.6
Performance Avg
59.2
61
Quality of Victory
59
100
Momentum Score
91
Jones
Belfort
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
58%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
11 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
2
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch3
3Ground0
Jones
Belfort
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.9
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
6
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jones
Belfort
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/29 fights
Chin rating based on
26/40 fights
Jones
Belfort
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
91
19-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Jones
Belfort
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
87%
6
KO / TKO Wins
11
6
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jones
Belfort
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.7
JonesBelfort
Strike Zones
Jones
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedBelfort
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jones targets the head (80% of attacks) — Belfort absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Belfort targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jones
RND
Belfort
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jones · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Belfort · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Jones · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
Belfort · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Lyoto MachidaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4.5Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
Upcoming
Kelvin GastelumUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · KO · R2
Gegard MousasiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Jacare SouzaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05
