UFC 82: Pride of a Champion
Columbus, USA
1 Mar 2008
Heavyweight
VS
77%
Arlovski
23%
O'Brien
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:17
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
34 – 24
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
JO
Jake O'Brien
"Irish"
15 – 4
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'3"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

Arlovski is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Arlovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Arlovski has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

O'Brien has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Arlovski
O'Brien
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"+
Reach
76"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
O'Brien
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
14.6
50.5
Performance Avg
42.4
47
Quality of Victory
33
94
Momentum Score
50
Arlovski
O'Brien
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
33%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
1
Body
1
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance1
0Clinch1
7Ground1
Arlovski
O'Brien
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
O'Brien
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Arlovski
O'Brien
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
50
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Arlovski
O'Brien
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
25%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
O'Brien
Striking5.0 / 3.6Volume5.3 / 7.1Grappling1.9 / 1.8Wrestling1.4 / 1.3Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Arlovski
Strike Zones
O'Brien
Arlovski
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY5LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
O'Brien
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY5LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (57% of attacks) — O'Brien absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯O'Brien targets the head (67% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
O'Brien
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

O'Brien · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.2W4.5W4.5W3.5L1.5L4.5W4.5L2006-082007-012008-072009-07
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7
Decision
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L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

O'Brien · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jon JonesRating 4.5
Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
W · Dec · R3
Christian WellischRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R1
Cain VelasquezRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
L · KO · R2
Andrei ArlovskiRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 82: Pride of a Champion · 2008-03
W · Dec · R3
Heath HerringRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Jake O'Brien
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