UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria
Jacksonville, USA
24 Jun 2023
Lightweight
VS
50%
Rebecki
50%
Radzhabov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:36
Mateusz
Mateusz Rebecki
20 – 5
5'7"66" reachSouthpaw33 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
Loik
Loik Radzhabov
"The Tajik Tank"
18 – 6
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'11"
CFR 46

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rebecki

This is a genuine toss-up — Rebecki at 50% vs Radzhabov at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Rebecki throws more volume but Radzhabov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Rebecki's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rebecki
Radzhabov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'11"
66"
Reach
+69"
33+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Rebecki
Radzhabov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
45.5
43.8
Performance Avg
42.5
40
Quality of Victory
38
50
Momentum Score
69
Rebecki
Radzhabov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
4
Body
0
11
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rebecki
Radzhabov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rebecki
Radzhabov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/24 fights
Rebecki
Radzhabov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
69
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Rebecki
Radzhabov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rebecki
Radzhabov
Striking3.5 / 6.0Volume5.0 / 5.0Grappling3.2 / 1.2Wrestling2.2 / 0.8Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Rebecki
Strike Zones
Radzhabov
Rebecki
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY11LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Radzhabov
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY11LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rebecki targets the head (42% of attacks) — Radzhabov absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Radzhabov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Rebecki absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rebecki
RND
Radzhabov
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Rebecki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0104.5W5.8W5.2W5.0L6.1W6.8L6.7L5.5L2023-012023-112024-102025-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Radzhabov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W3.3L5.7W5.6L2023-032023-062024-032024-07
WinLossTrend

Rebecki · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Grant DawsonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris DuncanRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · KO · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

Radzhabov · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · KO · R3
Abdul-Kareem Al-SelwadyRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Mateusz RebeckiRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Mateusz Rebecki · Loik Radzhabov
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