UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Middleweight
VS
56%
Muradov
44%
Barberena
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Makhmud
Makhmud Muradov
26 – 8
6'2"75" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
Bryan
Bryan Barberena
"Bam Bam"
18 – 12
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'0"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Muradov

This is a genuine toss-up — Muradov at 56% vs Barberena at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barberena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barberena has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Muradov
Barberena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
36+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Muradov
Barberena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.1
43.3
49.2
Performance Avg
43.9
38
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
76
Muradov
Barberena
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
2.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
8
9
Body
1
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
24Distance14
4Clinch0
1Ground0
Muradov
Barberena
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Muradov
Barberena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
10
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/34 fights
Chin rating based on
19/30 fights
Muradov
Barberena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
76
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Muradov
Barberena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
56%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Muradov
Barberena
Striking6.3 / 5.4Volume5.3 / 4.5Grappling1.2 / 2.0Wrestling0.8 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure5.5 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Muradov
Strike Zones
Barberena
Muradov
Attacking
20HEAD9BODY0LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY5LEGS14 absorbed
Barberena
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY5LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD9BODY0LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Muradov targets the head (69% of attacks) — Barberena absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Barberena targets the head (57% of attacks) — Muradov absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Muradov
RND
Barberena
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Muradov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5W5.5W3.8L6.9L4.9W2019-092019-122021-012021-082022-102023-07
WinLossTrend

Barberena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W5.5L5.2W4.7W6.8L5.0W6.6L5.0W5.5L4.9L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.9W5.5W2.9L2.6L6.5L3.8L2014-122017-042020-092022-122024-03
WinLossTrend

Muradov · Last 5

Upcoming
Aliaskhab Khizriev
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
W · KO · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01

Barberena · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07

News & Media

Makhmud Muradov · Bryan Barberena
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