METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2016
Lightweight
VS
30%
Pettis
70%
Barboza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Edson BarbozawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Anthony Pettis · UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barboza
→
Actual result
Barboza wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Barboza is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pettis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Pettis's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barboza has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PettisBarboza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pettis
Barboza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+75"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pettis
Barboza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
44.6
52.6
Performance Avg
45.7
51
Quality of Victory
40
72
Momentum Score
60
Pettis
Barboza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
6.1
Style: Pressure
5.1
4.0
Style: Volume
5.1
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
9 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
1
Body
3
4
Leg
18
RangeRange
12Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pettis
Barboza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
3.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pettis
Barboza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/34 fights
Chin rating based on
33/38 fights
Pettis
Barboza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
60
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Pettis
Barboza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
9
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pettis
Barboza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
PettisBarboza
Strike Zones
Pettis
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedBarboza
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (58% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Barboza targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pettis
RND
Barboza
0/0R00/0
Pettis · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneDecision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Sub · R2
Diego FerreiraSubmission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Nate DiazDecision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Esteban RibovicsKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10