UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux
Las Vegas, USA
23 Apr 2016
Lightweight
VS
30%
Pettis
70%
Barboza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AP
Anthony Pettis
"Showtime"
24 – 10
5'10"72" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barboza

Barboza is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Pettis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Barboza throws more volume but Pettis connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Pettis's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Barboza has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Pettis
Barboza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+75"
39+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pettis
Barboza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
44.9
52.6
Performance Avg
46.3
51
Quality of Victory
40
72
Momentum Score
60
Pettis
Barboza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
9 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
10
1
Body
3
4
Leg
18
RangeRange
12Distance31
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pettis
Barboza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pettis
Barboza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/34 fights
Chin rating based on
32/38 fights
Pettis
Barboza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
60
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
Pettis
Barboza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
9
4
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Pettis
Barboza
Striking3.8 / 6.1Volume4.0 / 5.1Grappling3.8 / 1.2Wrestling2.6 / 0.8Submission3.6 / 0.0Pressure6.1 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
3.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Pettis
Strike Zones
Barboza
Pettis
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY4LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY18LEGS31 absorbed
Barboza
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY18LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY4LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Pettis targets the head (58% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Barboza targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Pettis absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Pettis
RND
Barboza
0/0R00/0

Pettis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.0L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.1W5.7L5.5L6.0L6.9W3.8L4.9W4.1L6.0W3.3L5.7W5.5L3.8L4.5W4.5W2011-062014-122016-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Barboza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Pettis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
W · Dec · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Sub · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
Submission
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01
L · Dec · R3
Nate DiazRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
W · KO · R2
Stephen ThompsonRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

Barboza · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

News & Media

Anthony Pettis · Edson Barboza
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