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UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Atlanta, USA
30 Jul 2016
Flyweight
VS
47%
Reis
53%
Sandoval
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:49
WR
Wilson Reis
2310
5'4"65" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
HS
Hector Sandoval
"Kid Alex"
144
Well-Rounded40 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'2"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Wilson ReiswinsSubmissionR1 · 1:49
def. Hector Sandoval · UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sandoval
Actual result
Reis wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Reis at 47% vs Sandoval at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Reis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sandoval has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
ReisSandoval
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Reis
Sandoval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'2"
65"+
Reach
64"
41
Age
+40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reis
Sandoval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
17.3
41.5
Performance Avg
45.5
33
Quality of Victory
43
65
Momentum Score
57
Reis
Sandoval
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
3.6
Style: Pressure
5.0
6.8
Style: Volume
5.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Reis
Sandoval
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reis
Sandoval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Reis
Sandoval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
57
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Reis
Sandoval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reis
Sandoval
Striking1.1 / 6.0Volume6.8 / 5.0Grappling4.0 / 1.2Wrestling2.8 / 0.8Submission2.9 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Reis
Strike Zones
Sandoval
Reis
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Sandoval
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reis targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sandoval absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Sandoval targets the head (60% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reis
RND
Sandoval
0/0R00/0

Reis · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alexandre Pantoja
KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben Nguyen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John Moraga
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry Cejudo
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious Johnson
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04

Sandoval · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Dustin Ortiz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · KO · R1
Matt Schnell
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Fredy Serrano
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Wilson Reis
Submission
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

News & Media

Wilson Reis · Hector Sandoval
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