UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
Atlanta, USA
30 Jul 2016
Flyweight
VS
47%
Reis
53%
Sandoval
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:49
WR
Wilson Reis
23 – 10
5'4"65" reachSouthpaw41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
HS
Hector Sandoval
"Kid Alex"
14 – 4
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'2"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sandoval

This is a genuine toss-up — Reis at 47% vs Sandoval at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sandoval has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Reis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Sandoval has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Reis
Sandoval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'2"
65"+
Reach
64"
41
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reis
Sandoval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.5
17.3
41.5
Performance Avg
45.5
33
Quality of Victory
43
65
Momentum Score
57
Reis
Sandoval
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
2.0
33%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
0
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Reis
Sandoval
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Reis
Sandoval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Reis
Sandoval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
57
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Reis
Sandoval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reis
Sandoval
Striking1.1 / 6.0Volume6.8 / 5.0Grappling4.0 / 1.2Wrestling2.8 / 0.8Submission2.9 / 0.0Pressure3.6 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Reis
Strike Zones
Sandoval
Reis
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Sandoval
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reis targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sandoval absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Sandoval targets the head (60% of attacks) — Reis absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reis
RND
Sandoval
0/0R00/0

Reis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W2.8L4.2L5.5L4.5W2.8L2013-092015-052017-042019-04
WinLossTrend

Sandoval · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.2
0101.5L4.5W5.2W1.5L2016-072016-122017-042017-08
WinLossTrend

Reis · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alexandre PantojaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
W · Dec · R3
Ben NguyenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
John MoragaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Sub · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04

Sandoval · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Dustin OrtizRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · KO · R1
Matt SchnellRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Fredy SerranoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

News & Media

Wilson Reis · Hector Sandoval
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