METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Dec 2017
Women's Flyweight
VS
13%
Gevorgyan
87%
Ostovich
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:40
★ Official Result
Rachael OstovichwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:40
def. Karine Gevorgyan · The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ostovich
→
Actual result
Ostovich wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Ostovich is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ostovich has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Striking split: Gevorgyan throws more volume but Ostovich connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ostovich has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GevorgyanOstovich
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gevorgyan
Ostovich
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
63"+
Reach
62"
37
Age
+35
—
Stance
Orthodox
Gevorgyan
Ostovich
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.5
16.5
0.0
Performance Avg
42.4
0
Quality of Victory
54
0
Momentum Score
36
Gevorgyan
Ostovich
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
0.7
20%
Strike Accuracy
45%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Gevorgyan
Ostovich
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gevorgyan
Ostovich
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/6 fights
Chin rating based on
4/10 fights
Gevorgyan
Ostovich
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
36
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Gevorgyan
Ostovich
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gevorgyan
Ostovich
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
GevorgyanOstovich
Strike Zones
Gevorgyan
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedOstovich
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gevorgyan targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ostovich absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ostovich targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Gevorgyan absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gevorgyan
RND
Ostovich
0/0R00/0
Ostovich · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Gevorgyan · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Rachael OstovichRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
Ostovich · Last 4
L · KO · R3
Gina MazanyRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark · 2020-11
L · Sub · R2
Paige VanZantRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
L · Sub · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
W · Sub · R1
Karine GevorgyanRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12