UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski
Perth, Australia
11 Feb 2023
Featherweight
VS
48%
Culibao
52%
Baghdasaryan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:02
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Baghdasaryan
This is a genuine toss-up — Culibao at 48% vs Baghdasaryan at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Baghdasaryan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Baghdasaryan has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Culibao
Baghdasaryan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Culibao
Baghdasaryan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.0
45.5
37.0
Performance Avg
45.0
33
Quality of Victory
35
75
Momentum Score
48
Culibao
Baghdasaryan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
3
2
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance6
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Culibao
Baghdasaryan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Culibao
Baghdasaryan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
6/11 fights
Culibao
Baghdasaryan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
48
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Culibao
Baghdasaryan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Culibao
Baghdasaryan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
CulibaoBaghdasaryan
Strike Zones
Culibao
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedBaghdasaryan
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Culibao targets the head (40% of attacks) — Baghdasaryan absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Baghdasaryan targets the head (38% of attacks) — Culibao absorbs 38% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Culibao
RND
Baghdasaryan
0/0R00/0
Culibao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Baghdasaryan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Culibao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Danny SilvaRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Melsik BaghdasaryanRating 5.8Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
SeungWoo ChoiRating 4.7Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
Baghdasaryan · Last 5
Upcoming
Murtazali MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Jean SilvaRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tucker LutzRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
L · Sub · R2
Josh CulibaoRating 3.1Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SouzaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11