Josh Culibao vs Melsik Baghdasaryan — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski

Perth, Australia

11 Feb 2023

Featherweight

53%

Culibao

47%

Baghdasaryan

Win Probability

Submission

Round 2 · 2:02

Josh Culibao

"Kuya"

11 – 4

5'10"73" reachOrthodox32 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 42

Melsik Baghdasaryan

"The Gun"

8 – 3

Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'9"

CFR 38

★ Official Result

Josh CulibaowinsSubmissionR2 · 2:02

def. Melsik Baghdasaryan · UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Culibao

→

Actual result

Culibao wins

Submission · R2

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Culibao at 53% vs Baghdasaryan at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Baghdasaryan has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

CulibaoBaghdasaryan

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Culibao

Baghdasaryan

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"+

Height

5'9"

73"+

Reach

70"

32+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Culibao

Baghdasaryan

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

42.0

37.7

37.0

Performance Avg

41.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Culibao

Baghdasaryan

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.9

/ 10

4.3

/ 10

3.6

Style: Pressure

3.8

6.2

Style: Volume

6.3

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance6

1Clinch2

0Ground0

Culibao

Baghdasaryan

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.3

/ 10

1.6

/ 10

3.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.1

3.3

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Culibao

Baghdasaryan

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

7 fights ago

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

8/15 fights

Chin rating based on

6/11 fights

Culibao

Baghdasaryan

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

3-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

Culibao

Baghdasaryan

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Culibao

Baghdasaryan

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.6

3.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.1

3.3

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

3.6

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.8

6.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.3

Culibao

Strike Zones

Baghdasaryan

Culibao

Attacking

5 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Baghdasaryan

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

5 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Culibao targets the head (40% of attacks) — Baghdasaryan absorbs 40% of strikes there

🎯Baghdasaryan targets the head (38% of attacks) — Culibao absorbs 38% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Culibao

RND

Baghdasaryan

0/0R00/0

Culibao · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Ricardo Ramos

Decision

UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08

L · Dec · R3

Danny Silva

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

L · Dec · R3

Lerone Murphy

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

W · Sub · R2

Melsik Baghdasaryan

Submission

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

W · Dec · R3

SeungWoo Choi

Decision

UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06

Baghdasaryan · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Murtazali Magomedov

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

L · KO · R1

Jean Silva

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02

W · Dec · R3

Tucker Lutz

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

L · Sub · R2

Josh Culibao

Submission

UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02

W · Dec · R3

Bruno Souza

Decision

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

News & Media

Josh Culibao · Melsik Baghdasaryan

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