Gaston Bolanos vs Michael Aswell Jr. — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Las Vegas, USA

20 Jun 2026

Featherweight

44%

Bolanos

56%

Jr.

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Gaston Bolanos

"The Dreamkiller"

8 – 5

5'7"69" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 42

Michael Aswell Jr.

"The Texas Kid"

11 – 4

Knockout Artist2-fight slide25 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"

CFR 53

★ Official Result

Gaston BolanoswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Michael Aswell Jr. · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Jr.

Michael Aswell Jr. by KO, Round 1. He finds the clean shot early and ends it emp…

→

Actual result

Bolanos wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Pure striker versus pure points fighter in a featherweight prelim with finishing implications.

Michael Aswell Jr. is a striking purist — style score of 10.0, zero grappling, zero wrestling, and a 100% finish rate. The model rates him as the clear favourite at 56.5 CFR versus Bolanos's 38.1. Bolanos is a fighter who has been around the UFC for a while, accumulating more decisions than highlights, and his momentum of 55.6 suggests adequate but not exceptional form. Aswell should be able to cl…

Bolanos intel

Bolanos is experienced but his 0% finish rate and modest CFR make him a developmental matchup rather than a serious threat.

Jr. intel

Aswell is a finisher who operates entirely on the feet. His 100% finish rate is extraordinary and he enters with good momentum.

Key angles

When Aswell lands the overhand, does Bolanos survive?

Risk flags

Bolanos's experience could allow him to weather early storms and work the scorecards

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

BolanosJr.

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Bolanos

Jr.

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"

Height

+5'8"

69"

Reach

69"

Age

+25

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Bolanos

Jr.

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

42.2

53.0

39.0

Performance Avg

46.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Bolanos

Jr.

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.2

/ 10

10.0

/ 10

1.8

Style: Pressure

7.8

9.2

Style: Volume

0.5

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

21Distance20

1Clinch7

0Ground1

Bolanos

Jr.

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.4

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

1.7

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Bolanos

Jr.

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

3 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

5/13 fights

Chin rating based on

5/15 fights

Bolanos

Jr.

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Bolanos

Jr.

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bolanos

Jr.

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

2.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

1.7

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

1.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.8

9.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.5

Bolanos

Strike Zones

Jr.

Bolanos

Attacking

22 landed

Absorbing

28 absorbed

Jr.

Attacking

28 landed

Absorbing

22 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Bolanos targets the body (45% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 45% of strikes there

🎯Jr. targets the head (89% of attacks) — Bolanos absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bolanos

RND

Jr.

0/0R00/0

Bolanos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Michael Aswell Jr.

Decision

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Submission

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KO/TKO

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Jr. · Last 5

Upcoming

JooSang Yoo

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L · Dec · R3

Gaston Bolanos

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Luke Riley

Decision

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Lucas Almeida

KO/TKO

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Decision

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News & Media

Gaston Bolanos · Michael Aswell Jr.

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