UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
Brooklyn, USA
11 Feb 2017
Lightweight
VS
59%
Poirier
41%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Dustin
Dustin Poirier
"The Diamond"
30 – 10
5'9"72" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Jim
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39 – 19
Well-Rounded42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'8"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Poirier

This is a genuine toss-up — Poirier at 59% vs Miller at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Poirier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Poirier
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
71"
37+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Poirier
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
43.5
58.2
Performance Avg
51.5
50
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
28
Poirier
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
10 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
13Distance12
0Clinch2
3Ground2
Poirier
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Poirier
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Poirier
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Poirier
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
71%
10
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
14
8
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Poirier
Miller
Striking6.0 / 3.4Volume4.0 / 3.5Grappling2.2 / 4.7Wrestling1.6 / 3.3Submission1.8 / 5.0Pressure6.6 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Poirier
Strike Zones
Miller
Poirier
Attacking
15HEAD1BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY7LEGS16 absorbed
Miller
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY7LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD1BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (94% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (44% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Poirier
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0

Poirier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W6.1W3.9L5.0W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.2W3.5L6.0W5.0W4.5W5.7W1.6L4.9W5.2W6.9W5.1W5.6W2.8L5.4W7.1W6.0W4.2L6.3W3.7L6.9W6.0L6.6L2011-012013-122017-022021-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Miller · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.4W5.5W5.5L5.0W2.1L4.5W5.0W5.0W2.1L6.5L4.5W3.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W6.8L5.5L5.5L2.4L5.0W2.9L5.0W5.5W5.5L5.2W5.7L6.2L5.2W5.9W5.2W6.4L5.0W5.7W6.2L5.3W6.3L5.4W2008-102012-052017-022021-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Poirier · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 6
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

Miller · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3
Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

News & Media

Dustin Poirier · Jim Miller
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