METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
Brooklyn, USA
11 Feb 2017
Lightweight
VS
59%
Poirier
41%
Miller
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dustin PoirierwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jim Miller · UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Poirier
→
Actual result
Poirier wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Poirier at 59% vs Miller at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Poirier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PoirierMiller
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Poirier
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
71"
37+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Poirier
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
43.5
58.2
Performance Avg
51.5
50
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
28
Poirier
Miller
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
41%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
10 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
7
1
Body
2
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
13Distance12
0Clinch2
3Ground2
Poirier
Miller
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Poirier
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
47/58 fights
Poirier
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Poirier
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
71%
10
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
14
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Poirier
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
PoirierMiller
Strike Zones
Poirier
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMiller
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (94% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (44% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Poirier
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
Poirier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Poirier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 6Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6.3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01