UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov
Nashville, USA
22 Apr 2017
Bantamweight
VS
44%
Dodson
56%
Wineland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JD
John Dodson
"The Magician"
22 – 12
5'3"66" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
EW
Eddie Wineland
24 – 16
Striker3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 28

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wineland

This is a genuine toss-up — Dodson at 44% vs Wineland at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Wineland throws more volume but Dodson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Wineland has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dodson
Wineland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'7"
66"
Reach
+69"
41
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dodson
Wineland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
28.2
50.7
Performance Avg
45.0
45
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
78
Dodson
Wineland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
32%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
5
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Dodson
Wineland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.0
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dodson
Wineland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
0
Never stopped
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/34 fights
Chin rating based on
16/40 fights
Dodson
Wineland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Dodson
Wineland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
5
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dodson
Wineland
Striking6.2 / 9.1Volume4.4 / 2.1Grappling1.0 / 0.4Wrestling0.7 / 0.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.4
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Dodson
Strike Zones
Wineland
Dodson
Attacking
9HEAD5BODY1LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Wineland
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD5BODY1LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dodson targets the head (60% of attacks) — Wineland absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Wineland targets the head (71% of attacks) — Dodson absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dodson
RND
Wineland
0/0R00/0

Dodson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.1W4.6W5.2W5.5L5.0W4.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L7.0L6.3W6.8L2011-122014-062017-042020-022020-08
WinLossTrend

Wineland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W2.1L5.2W1.5L5.5L5.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.2W3.0L2.3L1.5L2011-032013-092016-072019-062022-06
WinLossTrend

Dodson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
W · KO · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03

Wineland · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Cody StamannRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
John CastanedaRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R2
Grigory PopovRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07

News & Media

John Dodson · Eddie Wineland
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