UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
Toronto, Canada
10 Dec 2016
Lightweight
VS
48%
Saggo
52%
Khabilov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JS
Jason Saggo
12 – 4
5'11"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
RK
Rustam Khabilov
"Tiger"
24 – 4
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'8"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Khabilov

This is a genuine toss-up — Saggo at 48% vs Khabilov at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Saggo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Saggo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Saggo
Khabilov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
+73"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saggo
Khabilov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
19.9
49.0
Performance Avg
48.2
48
Quality of Victory
29
52
Momentum Score
100
Saggo
Khabilov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.7
42%
Strike Accuracy
37%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
13
2
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground11
Saggo
Khabilov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Saggo
Khabilov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
84
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
13/28 fights
Saggo
Khabilov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Saggo
Khabilov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
10%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saggo
Khabilov
Striking7.7 / 2.5Volume3.7 / 7.9Grappling0.8 / 1.9Wrestling0.6 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 3.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Saggo
Strike Zones
Khabilov
Saggo
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Khabilov
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saggo targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Khabilov absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Khabilov targets the head (93% of attacks) — Saggo absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saggo
RND
Khabilov
0/0R00/0

Saggo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L3.0L2014-062014-102016-032016-062016-122017-09
WinLossTrend

Khabilov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W4.0W4.5W3.4L5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W6.5L4.5W2012-122015-022016-122019-11
WinLossTrend

Saggo · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gilbert BurnsRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Justin SalasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

Khabilov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Sergey KhandozhkoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Diego FerreiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Kajan JohnsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
W · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12

News & Media

Jason Saggo · Rustam Khabilov
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