METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2021
Heavyweight
VS
23%
Overeem
77%
Volkov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:06
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkovwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:06
def. Alistair Overeem · UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkov
→
Actual result
Volkov wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Volkov is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Volkov throws more volume but Overeem connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkov has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OvereemVolkov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Overeem
Volkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'7"
80"
Reach
80"
46
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Volkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
60.2
55.0
Performance Avg
54.7
52
Quality of Victory
42
56
Momentum Score
88
Overeem
Volkov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.8
73%
Strike Accuracy
58%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
9 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
21
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance18
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Overeem
Volkov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Overeem
Volkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
19/51 fights
Overeem
Volkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
88
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Overeem
Volkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
9
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Overeem
Volkov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
OvereemVolkov
Strike Zones
Overeem
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedVolkov
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Volkov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Overeem
RND
Volkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Overeem · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Volkov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Overeem · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04
Volkov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneRating 7.2Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09