UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
6 Feb 2021
Heavyweight
VS
23%
Overeem
77%
Volkov
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:06
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
6'4"80" reachOrthodox46 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 18
Alexander
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
40 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak37 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'7"
CFR 60

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Volkov

Volkov is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Volkov throws more volume but Overeem connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Volkov has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Overeem
Volkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'7"
80"
Reach
80"
46
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Volkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
60.2
55.0
Performance Avg
54.7
52
Quality of Victory
42
56
Momentum Score
88
Overeem
Volkov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.8
73%
Strike Accuracy
58%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
9 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
21
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance18
0Clinch3
0Ground0
Overeem
Volkov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Overeem
Volkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
8
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
19/51 fights
Overeem
Volkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
88
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Overeem
Volkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
9
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Overeem
Volkov
Striking8.7 / 5.8Volume3.2 / 5.5Grappling0.6 / 1.8Wrestling0.4 / 1.2Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure7.0 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Overeem
Strike Zones
Volkov
Overeem
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD0BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Volkov
Attacking
21HEAD0BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY2LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Volkov absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Volkov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Overeem
RND
Volkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Volkov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W5.4W5.2L4.5W6.4L5.2W5.1W7.2L4.9W3.9L6.1W5.8W5.7W5.7W7.2L6.3W6.0W2016-112019-112021-102024-062026-05
WinLossTrend

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Volkov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ciryl GaneRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Alistair Overeem · Alexander Volkov
← Back to fights