UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2020
Women's Bantamweight
VS
67%
Pennington
33%
Reneau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
CFR 24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pennington
Pennington holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Reneau has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reneau has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Pennington has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reneau has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pennington
Reneau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
37+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Reneau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
23.5
46.8
Performance Avg
44.1
32
Quality of Victory
46
80
Momentum Score
15
Pennington
Reneau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
7
14
Body
8
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
26Distance12
21Clinch4
0Ground0
Pennington
Reneau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pennington
Reneau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Pennington
Reneau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
15
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pennington
Reneau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Reneau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
PenningtonReneau
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedReneau
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (64% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Reneau targets the body (50% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Reneau
0/0R00/0
Pennington · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Reneau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddRating 4.5Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07