METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2020
Women's Bantamweight
VS
76%
Pennington
24%
Reneau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Raquel PenningtonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marion Reneau · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pennington
→
Actual result
Pennington wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Pennington is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Reneau has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Pennington's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Reneau has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenningtonReneau
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pennington
Reneau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
67"
Reach
+68"
38+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pennington
Reneau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.8
14.9
46.8
Performance Avg
44.1
32
Quality of Victory
46
80
Momentum Score
15
Pennington
Reneau
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
4.8
/ 10
3.7
Style: Pressure
6.8
7.5
Style: Volume
2.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
7
14
Body
8
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
26Distance12
21Clinch4
0Ground0
Pennington
Reneau
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pennington
Reneau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Pennington
Reneau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
15
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Pennington
Reneau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
23%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pennington
Reneau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
7.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
PenningtonReneau
Strike Zones
Pennington
Attacking
47 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedReneau
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
47 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pennington targets the head (64% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Reneau targets the body (50% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pennington
RND
Reneau
0/0R00/0
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
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W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddDecision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoDecision
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