METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Las Vegas, USA
17 May 2025
Lightweight
VS
51%
Gordon
49%
Moises
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:37
★ Official Result
Jared GordonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:37
def. Thiago Moises · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gordon
→
Actual result
Gordon wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Gordon at 51% vs Moises at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Gordon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Moises has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GordonMoises
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gordon
Moises
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
68"
Reach
+70"
38
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gordon
Moises
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.1
39.7
42.8
Performance Avg
42.7
36
Quality of Victory
38
63
Momentum Score
39
Gordon
Moises
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.4
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
5.0
6.4
Style: Volume
5.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
0
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
5Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Gordon
Moises
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gordon
Moises
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
14
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Gordon
Moises
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Gordon
Moises
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gordon
Moises
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
GordonMoises
Strike Zones
Gordon
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMoises
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (71% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Moises targets the head (60% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gordon
RND
Moises
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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