UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Las Vegas, USA
21 Aug 2021
Lightweight
VS
40%
Roberts
60%
Bahamondes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Bahamondes
Bahamondes holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Roberts has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bahamondes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Bahamondes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Roberts's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roberts
Bahamondes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+75"
32
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Roberts
Bahamondes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.9
60.3
40.8
Performance Avg
53.4
38
Quality of Victory
49
53
Momentum Score
64
Roberts
Bahamondes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.3
42%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
10
2
Body
17
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
12Distance28
1Clinch4
0Ground2
Roberts
Bahamondes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.1
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Roberts
Bahamondes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/18 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Roberts
Bahamondes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
64
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Roberts
Bahamondes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
83%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Roberts
Bahamondes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
RobertsBahamondes
Strike Zones
Roberts
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedBahamondes
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Roberts targets the head (77% of attacks) — Bahamondes absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Bahamondes targets the body (50% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Roberts
RND
Bahamondes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Bahamondes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.9WinLossTrend
Roberts · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
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