UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Lightweight
VS
59%
Gamrot
41%
Anjos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mateusz
Mateusz Gamrot
"Gamer"
26 – 4
5'10"70" reachSouthpaw35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gamrot

This is a genuine toss-up — Gamrot at 59% vs Anjos at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gamrot has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gamrot
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
35+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Gamrot
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
38.8
52.9
Performance Avg
47.7
42
Quality of Victory
41
66
Momentum Score
49
Gamrot
Anjos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
6
3
Body
2
0
Leg
5
RangeRange
26Distance10
1Clinch2
1Ground1
Gamrot
Anjos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.8
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
2.4
2
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gamrot
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/30 fights
Chin rating based on
36/49 fights
Gamrot
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
49
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Gamrot
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
43%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gamrot
Anjos
Striking4.7 / 3.1Volume4.9 / 5.7Grappling2.8 / 3.3Wrestling2.0 / 2.3Submission2.2 / 2.4Pressure6.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Gamrot
Strike Zones
Anjos
Gamrot
Attacking
25HEAD3BODY0LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY5LEGS13 absorbed
Anjos
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY5LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD3BODY0LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gamrot targets the head (89% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the head (46% of attacks) — Gamrot absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gamrot
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gamrot · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.6L5.2W5.5W6.3W6.1W6.5L5.7W6.1W4.7W6.4L5.7W3.5L5.9W2020-102022-062024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Gamrot · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

News & Media

Mateusz Gamrot · Rafael Dos Anjos
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