METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Tuivasa
50%
Tybura
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:08
★ Official Result
Marcin TyburawinsSubmissionR1 · 4:08
def. Tai Tuivasa · UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tuivasa
→
Actual result
Tybura wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Tuivasa at 50% vs Tybura at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Tuivasa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TuivasaTybura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Tuivasa
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
33+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tuivasa
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
42.5
50.4
Performance Avg
45.2
54
Quality of Victory
37
20
Momentum Score
58
Tuivasa
Tybura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
53%
9.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
23
1
Body
4
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance8
7Clinch0
0Ground19
Tuivasa
Tybura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tuivasa
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/25 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Tuivasa
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
58
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Tuivasa
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
36%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Tuivasa
Tybura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
TuivasaTybura
Strike Zones
Tuivasa
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTybura
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (60% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (85% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Tuivasa
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0
Tuivasa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Tybura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Tuivasa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08