UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Tuivasa
50%
Tybura
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:08
Tai
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
1510
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw33 yrs7-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 43
Marcin
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
2711
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tuivasa

This is a genuine toss-up — Tuivasa at 50% vs Tybura at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Tuivasa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tuivasa
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
33+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tuivasa
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
42.5
50.4
Performance Avg
45.2
54
Quality of Victory
37
20
Momentum Score
58
Tuivasa
Tybura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
53%
9.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
23
1
Body
4
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance8
7Clinch0
0Ground19
Tuivasa
Tybura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tuivasa
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
18/25 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Tuivasa
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
58
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Tuivasa
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
36%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tuivasa
Tybura
Striking9.6 / 4.0Volume1.9 / 5.7Grappling0.3 / 1.9Wrestling0.2 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure7.5 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Tuivasa
Strike Zones
Tybura
Tuivasa
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY5LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Tybura
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY5LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (60% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (85% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tuivasa
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0

Tuivasa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W5.2W2.1L5.5L3.3L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.4W6.5W4.5L2.7L4.0L1.9L6.6L6.7L5.5L2017-112019-102022-022024-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Tybura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2L4.5W2.8L1.7L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L5.3W4.5W3.9L5.4W2.0L5.1W5.6W2.5L6.8L2016-042018-072020-122024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Tuivasa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

Tybura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Tai Tuivasa · Marcin Tybura
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