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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Heavyweight
VS
53%
Tuivasa
47%
Tybura
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 Β· 4:08
Tai
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15 – 10
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw33 yrs7-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 43
Marcin
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
27 – 11
Well-Rounded3-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 39
β˜… Official Result
Marcin TyburawinsSubmissionR1 Β· 4:08
def. Tai Tuivasa Β· UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tuivasa
β†’
Actual result
Tybura wins
Submission Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Tuivasa at 53% vs Tybura at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 18 points.

Risk flags

Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tybura has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TuivasaTybura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Tuivasa
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
33+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tuivasa
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
39.0
50.4
Performance Avg
44.3
54
Quality of Victory
37
20
Momentum Score
43
Tuivasa
Tybura
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
9.6
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
7.5
Style: Pressure
4.2
1.9
Style: Volume
5.7
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
23
1
Body
4
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance8
7Clinch0
0Ground19
Tuivasa
Tybura
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Tuivasa
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Tuivasa
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
20
43
7-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Upcoming
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· R2
Tuivasa
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
36%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tuivasa
Tybura
Striking9.6 / 4.0Volume1.9 / 5.7Grappling0.3 / 1.9Wrestling0.2 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure7.5 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Tuivasa
Strike Zones
Tybura
Tuivasa
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY5LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD4BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Tybura
Attacking
23HEAD4BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY5LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (60% of attacks) β€” Tybura absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (85% of attacks) β€” Tuivasa absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Tuivasa
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0

Tuivasa Β· Last 5

Upcoming
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Decision
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Decision
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L Β· Sub Β· R1
Marcin Tybura
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura Β· 2024-03

Tybura Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Aleksandar Rakic
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez Β· 2026-08
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Tyrell Fortune
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer Β· 2026-03
L Β· KO Β· R1
Ante Delija
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho Β· 2025-09
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Mick Parkin
Decision
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W Β· R2
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News & Media

Tai Tuivasa Β· Marcin Tybura
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