UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Sydney, Australia
8 Feb 2025
Welterweight
VS
58%
Micallef
42%
Jousset
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jonathan
Jonathan Micallef
"The Captain"
10 – 1
6'0"77" reachSouthpaw27 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 67
KJ
Kevin Jousset
"Air"
10 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Micallef

This is a genuine toss-up — Micallef at 58% vs Jousset at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jousset has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Micallef
Jousset
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
27+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Micallef
Jousset
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.6
48.1
59.9
Performance Avg
43.7
33
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
53
Micallef
Jousset
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
3.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
16
8
Body
8
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
29Distance25
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Micallef
Jousset
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Micallef
Jousset
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Micallef
Jousset
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
53
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Micallef
Jousset
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Micallef
Jousset
Striking2.0 / 1.0Volume7.3 / 5.0Grappling4.3 / 5.2Wrestling3.0 / 3.6Submission3.3 / 5.0Pressure5.3 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Micallef
Strike Zones
Jousset
Micallef
Attacking
21HEAD8BODY1LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD8BODY2LEGS26 absorbed
Jousset
Attacking
16HEAD8BODY2LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD8BODY1LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Micallef targets the head (70% of attacks) — Jousset absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Jousset targets the head (62% of attacks) — Micallef absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Micallef
RND
Jousset
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Micallef · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.9W4.9W2025-022026-012026-05
WinLossTrend

Jousset · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W4.9W4.5L7.1L2023-092023-122024-092025-02
WinLossTrend

Micallef · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Themba GorimboRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Oban ElliottRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Kevin JoussetRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

Jousset · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MicallefRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · KO · R2
Bryan BattleRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Song KenanRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Kiefer CrosbieRating 5
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Jonathan Micallef · Kevin Jousset
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