UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2013
Welterweight
VS
93%
Woodley
7%
Hieron
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:36
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Woodley
Woodley is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.
Woodley has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Woodley's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hieron has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Woodley
Hieron
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
44+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Woodley
Hieron
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
1.5
58.9
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Woodley
Hieron
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
22%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Woodley
Hieron
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodley
Hieron
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Woodley
Hieron
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · R3
L · KO · R1
Woodley
Hieron
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Woodley
Hieron
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WoodleyHieron
Strike Zones
Woodley
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHieron
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Woodley targets the head (87% of attacks) — Hieron absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Woodley
RND
Hieron
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Woodley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Hieron · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Woodley · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueRating 3Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillRating 5.1Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Hieron · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · R3
Jonathan GouletRating 5.5UFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · KO · R1
Georges St-PierreRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06