METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2013
Welterweight
VS
93%
Woodley
7%
Hieron
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:36
★ Official Result
Tyron WoodleywinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:36
def. Jay Hieron · UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Woodley
→
Actual result
Woodley wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Woodley is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.
Risk flags
Woodley's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hieron has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WoodleyHieron
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Woodley
Hieron
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
44+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Woodley
Hieron
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
1.5
58.9
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Woodley
Hieron
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.9
Style: Volume
0.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
13Ground0
Woodley
Hieron
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Woodley
Hieron
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Woodley
Hieron
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · R3
L · KO · R1
Woodley
Hieron
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Woodley
Hieron
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WoodleyHieron
Strike Zones
Woodley
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHieron
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Woodley targets the head (87% of attacks) — Hieron absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Woodley
RND
Hieron
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Woodley · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby CovingtonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren TillSubmission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Hieron · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyKO/TKO
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerDecision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · R3
Jonathan GouletUFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · KO · R1
Georges St-PierreKO/TKO
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06