METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Bantamweight
VS
92%
Watson
8%
Sandoval
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:17
★ Official Result
Walel WatsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:17
def. Joseph Sandoval · UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Watson
→
Actual result
Watson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Watson is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Watson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.
Striking split: Watson throws more volume but Sandoval connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sandoval has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WatsonSandoval
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Watson
Sandoval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
75"
Reach
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Watson
Sandoval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
1.6
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
36
Momentum Score
0
Watson
Sandoval
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.6
33%
Strike Accuracy
43%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Watson
Sandoval
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Watson
Sandoval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Watson
Sandoval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Watson
Sandoval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Watson
Sandoval
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
WatsonSandoval
Strike Zones
Watson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSandoval
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Watson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Sandoval absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Watson
RND
Sandoval
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Watson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Sandoval · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Watson · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Mitch GagnonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Joseph SandovalRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
Sandoval · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Nick DenisRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · KO · R1
Walel WatsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10