UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Bantamweight
VS
92%
Watson
8%
Sandoval
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:17
WW
Walel Watson
"The Gazelle"
14 – 10
5'11"75" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 18
JS
Joseph Sandoval
7 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsSouthpaw5'7"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Watson

Watson is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Watson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

Striking split: Watson throws more volume but Sandoval connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Sandoval has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Watson
Sandoval
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
75"
Reach
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Watson
Sandoval
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
1.6
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
36
Momentum Score
0
Watson
Sandoval
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.6
33%
Strike Accuracy
43%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Watson
Sandoval
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Watson
Sandoval
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Watson
Sandoval
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
36
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Watson
Sandoval
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Watson
Sandoval
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume0.5 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Watson
Strike Zones
Sandoval
Watson
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY3LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Sandoval
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY3LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Watson targets the head (67% of attacks) — Sandoval absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Watson
RND
Sandoval
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Watson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.5L5.6L1.5L2011-102011-122012-022012-09
WinLossTrend

Sandoval · QOF Timeline

Avg: 1.5
0101.5L1.5L2011-102012-01
WinLossTrend

Watson · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Mitch GagnonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Dec · R3
TJ DillashawRating 5.6
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
L · Dec · R3
Yves JabouinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Joseph SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Sandoval · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Nick DenisRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
L · KO · R1
Walel WatsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

News & Media

Walel Watson · Joseph Sandoval
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