UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
22 Jun 2024
Featherweight
VS
52%
Naimov
48%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Naimov
This is a genuine toss-up — Naimov at 52% vs Lima at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Naimov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Naimov's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Naimov
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
70"+
Reach
68"
31
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Naimov
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.2
54.7
51.4
Performance Avg
47.7
38
Quality of Victory
35
96
Momentum Score
68
Naimov
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.5
37%
Strike Accuracy
35%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
2
Body
1
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Naimov
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Naimov
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Naimov
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
68
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Naimov
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Naimov
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
NaimovLima
Strike Zones
Naimov
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedLima
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Naimov targets the body (40% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the body (50% of attacks) — Naimov absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Naimov
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Naimov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Naimov · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mairon SantosRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Bogdan GradRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Kaan OfliRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Sub · R3
Felipe LimaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Erik SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Lima · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 7Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Sub · R3
Muhammad NaimovRating 6.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
