UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Welterweight
VS
73%
Magny
27%
Martin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magny
Magny is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Magny has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Magny's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martin has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Magny
Martin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
80"+
Reach
73"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magny
Martin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.5
17.5
47.4
Performance Avg
45.3
36
Quality of Victory
35
75
Momentum Score
65
Magny
Martin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
13
11
Body
0
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance15
13Clinch0
0Ground0
Magny
Martin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magny
Martin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
68
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
6
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/46 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Magny
Martin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
65
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Magny
Martin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
42%
44%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
3
14
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magny
Martin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MagnyMartin
Strike Zones
Magny
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMartin
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magny targets the head (61% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Martin targets the head (87% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magny
RND
Martin
0/0R00/0
Magny · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Martin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Magny · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7Submission
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L · KO · R1
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Martin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
