METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
85%
Curran
15%
Kagan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:13
★ Official Result
Kailin CurranwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:13
def. Emily Kagan · UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Curran
→
Actual result
Curran wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Curran is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Curran has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Risk flags
Curran's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CurranKagan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Curran
Kagan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"
Reach
35+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
—
Curran
Kagan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
2.4
35.4
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
20
Momentum Score
0
Curran
Kagan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
0.0
0.3
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
7
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance13
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Curran
Kagan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Curran
Kagan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
2/6 fights
Curran
Kagan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Curran
Kagan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Curran
Kagan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CurranKagan
Strike Zones
Curran
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedKagan
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Curran targets the body (54% of attacks) — Kagan absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Kagan targets the head (71% of attacks) — Curran absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Curran
RND
Kagan
0/0R00/0
Curran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Aleksandra AlbuDecision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MoyleDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Felice HerrigSubmission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Emily KaganSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
Kagan · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Kailin CurranSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12