METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
85%
Curran
15%
Kagan
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:13
★ Official Result
Kailin CurranwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:13
def. Emily Kagan · UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Curran
→
Actual result
Curran wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Curran is a strong favourite at 85% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Curran has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Curran has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Curran's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CurranKagan
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Curran
Kagan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'3"
65"
Reach
35+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
—
Curran
Kagan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
2.4
35.4
Performance Avg
0.0
50
Quality of Victory
0
20
Momentum Score
0
Curran
Kagan
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
33%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
7
Body
3
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance13
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Curran
Kagan
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Curran
Kagan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/9 fights
Chin rating based on
2/6 fights
Curran
Kagan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Curran
Kagan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Curran
Kagan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
CurranKagan
Strike Zones
Curran
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedKagan
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Curran targets the body (54% of attacks) — Kagan absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Kagan targets the head (71% of attacks) — Curran absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Curran
RND
Kagan
0/0R00/0
Curran · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Kagan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Curran · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandra AlbuRating 5.5Decision
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MoyleRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · 2016-12
L · Sub · R1
Felice HerrigRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Emily KaganRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
Kagan · Last 2
L · Sub · R2
Kailin CurranRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale · 2014-12