★ Championship Bout · Ultimate Fighter 11 Middleweight Tournament
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale
Las Vegas, USA
19 Jun 2010
Ultimate Fighter 11 Middleweight Tournament
VS
95%
McGee
5%
McCray
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McGee
McGee is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McGee has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
Striking split: McGee throws more volume but McCray connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McGee
McCray
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
+76"
41+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McGee
McCray
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
2.1
40.1
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
McGee
McCray
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance4
2Clinch2
1Ground0
McGee
McCray
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGee
McCray
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
74
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
McGee
McCray
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
McGee
McCray
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
McCray
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
McGeeMcCray
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMcCray
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (60% of attacks) — McCray absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯McCray targets the head (67% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
McCray
0/0R00/0
McGee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
McCray · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
McGee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
McCray · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
John HathawayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · Sub · R1
Carlos Eduardo RochaRating 1.5Submission
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Sub · R2
Court McGeeRating 2.9Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06