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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
Beijing, China
24 Nov 2018
Bantamweight
VS
64%
36%
Smolka
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:07
Sumudaerji
Sumudaerji
"The Tibetan Eagle"
197
5'8"72" reachSouthpaw30 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 48
LS
Louis Smolka
"Da Last Samurai"
179
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 27
★ Official Result
Louis SmolkawinsSubmissionR2 · 2:07
def. Sumudaerji · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Actual result
Smolka wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Smolka has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Smolka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Risk flags

's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Smolka has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
Smolka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Smolka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
72"+
Reach
68"
30+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Smolka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.9
26.6
43.5
Performance Avg
46.5
30
Quality of Victory
46
75
Momentum Score
60
Smolka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.7
/ 10
5.9
/ 10
2.9
Style: Pressure
6.7
8.1
Style: Volume
2.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground6
Smolka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Smolka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
12
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
3
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
12/26 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Smolka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
60
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Smolka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Smolka
Striking2.7 / 5.9Volume8.1 / 2.9Grappling2.1 / 2.6Wrestling1.4 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure2.9 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Strike Zones
Smolka
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Smolka
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smolka absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smolka targets the head (100% of attacks) — absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

RND
Smolka
0/0R00/0

· Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alex Perez
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08
Upcoming
Alex Perez
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jesus Aguilar
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin Borjas
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Mitch Raposo
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04

Smolka · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Davey Grant
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
L · KO · R1
Vince Morales
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
W · KO · R2
Jose Quinonez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R1
Casey Kenney
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
W · KO · R1
Ryan MacDonald
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

News & Media

Sumudaerji · Louis Smolka
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