UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2
Beijing, China
24 Nov 2018
Bantamweight
VS
64%
36%
Smolka
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:07
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge:
holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Smolka has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Smolka has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Smolka throws more volume but connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smolka has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Smolka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
72"+
Reach
68"
30+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Smolka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.6
26.6
42.5
Performance Avg
46.5
31
Quality of Victory
46
75
Momentum Score
60
Smolka
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
2.2
52%
Strike Accuracy
51%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
7
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
9Ground6
Smolka
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Smolka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
12
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
17/26 fights
Smolka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
60
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Smolka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Smolka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Strike Zones
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedSmolka
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smolka absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smolka targets the head (100% of attacks) — absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Smolka
0/0R00/0
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Smolka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
· Last 5
Upcoming
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L · KO · R3
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