UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Baku, Azerbaijan
21 Jun 2025
Flyweight
VS
65%
Ulanbekov
35%
Maksum
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ulanbekov
Ulanbekov holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Maksum has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ulanbekov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Ulanbekov
Maksum
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
+31
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Ulanbekov
Maksum
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
30.4
50.3
Performance Avg
25.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
80
Momentum Score
33
Ulanbekov
Maksum
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
54%
Strike Accuracy
27%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
17
5
Body
8
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance13
9Clinch12
0Ground0
Ulanbekov
Maksum
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ulanbekov
Maksum
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/20 fights
Chin rating based on
4/18 fights
Ulanbekov
Maksum
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
33
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ulanbekov
Maksum
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ulanbekov
Maksum
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
UlanbekovMaksum
Strike Zones
Ulanbekov
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedMaksum
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ulanbekov targets the head (79% of attacks) — Maksum absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Maksum targets the head (68% of attacks) — Ulanbekov absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ulanbekov
RND
Maksum
0/0R00/0
Ulanbekov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Maksum · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Ulanbekov · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Azat MaksumRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Clayton CarpenterRating 5.4Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 5.4Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Nate ManessRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
Maksum · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Tagir UlanbekovRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Tyson NamRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07

