METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Middleweight
VS
88%
Sarafian
12%
Mendez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:20
★ Official Result
Daniel SarafianwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:20
def. Eddie Mendez · UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sarafian
→
Actual result
Sarafian wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Sarafian is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sarafian has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Striking split: Mendez throws more volume but Sarafian connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sarafian's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SarafianMendez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sarafian
Mendez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
73"
Reach
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
—
Sarafian
Mendez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.0
2.5
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Sarafian
Mendez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
1.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
33%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sarafian
Mendez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sarafian
Mendez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
1/11 fights
Sarafian
Mendez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Sarafian
Mendez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sarafian
Mendez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SarafianMendez
Strike Zones
Sarafian
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMendez
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sarafian targets the head (63% of attacks) — Mendez absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Mendez targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sarafian absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sarafian
RND
Mendez
0/0R00/0
Sarafian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Sarafian · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Oluwale BamgboseRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Cowboy · 2016-02
W · KO · R2
Antonio Dos SantosRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · Sub · R1
Kiichi KunimotoRating 1.5Submission
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
Eddie MendezRating 5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Mendez · Last 1
L · Sub · R1
Daniel SarafianRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06