UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
New York City, USA
4 Nov 2017
Heavyweight
VS
33%
Oleinik
67%
Blaydes
Win Probability
AO
Aleksei Oleinik
"The Boa Constrictor"
60 – 17
6'2"80" reachOrthodox48 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 27
Curtis
Curtis Blaydes
"Razor"
19 – 6
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'4"
CFR 54

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Blaydes

Blaydes holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Oleinik has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Blaydes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Oleinik's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Blaydes has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Oleinik
Blaydes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
80"
Reach
80"
48
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oleinik
Blaydes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
53.9
52.0
Performance Avg
53.4
51
Quality of Victory
42
39
Momentum Score
81
Oleinik
Blaydes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
56%
2.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.4
1 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Oleinik
Blaydes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.0
4.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Oleinik
Blaydes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/77 fights
Chin rating based on
21/25 fights
Oleinik
Blaydes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
81
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Oleinik
Blaydes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
7
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Oleinik
Blaydes
Striking2.2 / 6.4Volume1.9 / 4.8Grappling6.5 / 1.0Wrestling4.5 / 0.7Submission7.8 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
6.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
7.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Oleinik
Strike Zones
Blaydes
Oleinik
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Blaydes
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY1LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Oleinik targets the head (75% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Blaydes targets the head (89% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Oleinik
RND
Blaydes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Oleinik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.7L5.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.2W4.5W3.3L1.8L6.0L5.0W5.5L2014-062017-112020-012022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

Blaydes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2L5.2W4.5W4.2W4.5W5.5W1.9L4.5W5.2W5.1W5.8W3.3L5.6W5.5W7.4W2.7L7.0W3.9L4.8W7.5L2016-042018-062020-062023-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Oleinik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaRating 5
Submission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

Blaydes · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaRating 7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R1
Sergei PavlovichRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

News & Media

Aleksei Oleinik · Curtis Blaydes
← Back to fights