METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
New York City, USA
4 Nov 2017
Heavyweight
VS
33%
Oleinik
67%
Blaydes
Win Probability
★ Official Result
Curtis BlaydeswinsR2 · 1:39
def. Aleksei Oleinik · UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blaydes
→
Actual result
Blaydes wins
Pre-fight analysis
Blaydes holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Oleinik has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Oleinik's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Blaydes has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OleinikBlaydes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Oleinik
Blaydes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
80"
Reach
80"
49
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Oleinik
Blaydes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
26.5
53.9
52.0
Performance Avg
53.4
51
Quality of Victory
42
39
Momentum Score
81
Oleinik
Blaydes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
6.4
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
5.6
1.9
Style: Volume
4.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
8
1
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Oleinik
Blaydes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.5
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
7.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Oleinik
Blaydes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/77 fights
Chin rating based on
22/25 fights
Oleinik
Blaydes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
81
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Oleinik
Blaydes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
7
7
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Oleinik
Blaydes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.4
6.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
4.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
7.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
OleinikBlaydes
Strike Zones
Oleinik
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedBlaydes
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Oleinik targets the head (75% of attacks) — Blaydes absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Blaydes targets the head (89% of attacks) — Oleinik absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Oleinik
RND
Blaydes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Oleinik · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ilir LatifiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jared VanderaaSubmission
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Serghei SpivacDecision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Chris DaukausKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
Blaydes · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
Josh HokitDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievDecision
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L · KO · R1
Tom AspinallKO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · KO · R2
Jailton AlmeidaKO/TKO
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