UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Apr 2014
Welterweight
VS
48%
Howard
52%
LaFlare
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JH
John Howard
"Doomsday"
24 – 13
5'7"72" reachOrthodox43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
RL
Ryan LaFlare
14 – 3
Well-Rounded42 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: LaFlare

This is a genuine toss-up — Howard at 48% vs LaFlare at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: LaFlare throws more volume but Howard connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Howard's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

LaFlare has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Howard
LaFlare
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Howard
LaFlare
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
14.9
40.1
Performance Avg
43.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
40
Momentum Score
60
Howard
LaFlare
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.0
57%
Strike Accuracy
42%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
0
Body
4
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Howard
LaFlare
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Howard
LaFlare
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/37 fights
Chin rating based on
10/17 fights
Howard
LaFlare
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
60
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Howard
LaFlare
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Howard
LaFlare
Striking3.9 / 1.4Volume6.7 / 9.4Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 2.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.4
Howard
Strike Zones
LaFlare
Howard
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
LaFlare
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Howard targets the head (67% of attacks) — LaFlare absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯LaFlare targets the head (65% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Howard
RND
LaFlare
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Howard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.5L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W2.8L2009-012010-082013-122015-072015-12
WinLossTrend

LaFlare · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.7W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.0L2013-042014-042017-022018-10
WinLossTrend

Howard · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Lorenz LarkinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · 2014-04

LaFlare · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12

News & Media

John Howard · Ryan LaFlare
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