UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Boston, USA
19 Aug 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
40%
Lee
60%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrea
Andrea Lee
"KGB"
13 – 11
5'6"69" reachOrthodox37 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Natalia
Natalia Silva
20 – 5
Well-Rounded8-fight win streak29 yrsSouthpaw65" reach5'4"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

Silva holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Lee has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lee
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
69"+
Reach
65"
37
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lee
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.1
65.7
35.8
Performance Avg
59.5
36
Quality of Victory
33
53
Momentum Score
100
Lee
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
48%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
13
2
Body
2
6
Leg
7
RangeRange
11Distance22
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lee
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Lee
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
100
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
8-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Lee
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee
Silva
Striking2.7 / 4.5Volume5.5 / 8.0Grappling3.0 / 1.8Wrestling2.1 / 1.3Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.9 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
Lee
Strike Zones
Silva
Lee
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY6LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY7LEGS22 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY7LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY6LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (59% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0104.8W4.5W5.5W5.7L6.3L5.5L5.2W5.2W6.2L6.5L7.0L6.3L6.5L6.1L2018-052020-022022-052024-062025-03
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.4W5.5W5.0W4.9W5.2W5.3W5.7W5.9W2022-062023-052024-022025-052026-01
WinLossTrend

Lee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Montana De La RosaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Miranda MaverickRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

News & Media

Andrea Lee · Natalia Silva
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