The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2013
Middleweight
VS
88%
Barnatt
12%
Hart
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Barnatt
Barnatt is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Barnatt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Hart has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Barnatt
Hart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barnatt
Hart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
2.7
46.9
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
82
Momentum Score
0
Barnatt
Hart
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.0
38%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
19
4
Body
4
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
30Distance22
4Clinch8
0Ground0
Barnatt
Hart
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barnatt
Hart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
1/9 fights
Barnatt
Hart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Barnatt
Hart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barnatt
Hart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BarnattHart
Strike Zones
Barnatt
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedHart
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barnatt targets the head (85% of attacks) — Hart absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Hart targets the head (63% of attacks) — Barnatt absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barnatt
RND
Hart
0/0R00/0
Barnatt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Barnatt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mark MunozRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Mats NilssonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
W · Sub · R2
Andrew CraigRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
Hart · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Luke BarnattRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04