UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
London, United Kingdom
16 Oct 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
McSweeney
50%
Maldonado
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McSweeney
This is a genuine toss-up — McSweeney at 50% vs Maldonado at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
McSweeney has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McSweeney's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maldonado has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
McSweeney
Maldonado
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
75"
45+
Age
46
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
McSweeney
Maldonado
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
17.5
43.3
Performance Avg
39.8
50
Quality of Victory
36
52
Momentum Score
81
McSweeney
Maldonado
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
63%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
20
1
Body
7
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance27
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McSweeney
Maldonado
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McSweeney
Maldonado
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
68
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/30 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
McSweeney
Maldonado
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
81
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
McSweeney
Maldonado
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McSweeney
Maldonado
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
McSweeneyMaldonado
Strike Zones
McSweeney
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedMaldonado
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McSweeney targets the body (100% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Maldonado targets the head (74% of attacks) — McSweeney absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McSweeney
RND
Maldonado
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McSweeney · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Maldonado · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
McSweeney · Last 3
L · KO · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
W · KO · R3
Darrill SchoonoverRating 5.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
Maldonado · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03