METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Las Vegas, USA
1 Oct 2022
Middleweight
VS
27%
Jotko
73%
Allen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:17
★ Official Result
Brendan AllenwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:17
def. Krzysztof Jotko · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Allen
→
Actual result
Allen wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Allen is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Allen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Jotko's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Allen has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JotkoAllen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jotko
Allen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"+
Reach
75"
37
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jotko
Allen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.7
61.3
42.8
Performance Avg
56.6
28
Quality of Victory
42
60
Momentum Score
88
Jotko
Allen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
6.6
8.6
Style: Volume
4.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
3Ground1
Jotko
Allen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
4.7
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
4.7
0
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jotko
Allen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/30 fights
Chin rating based on
20/33 fights
Jotko
Allen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
88
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Jotko
Allen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
9%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
7
10
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jotko
Allen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.7
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
8.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
JotkoAllen
Strike Zones
Jotko
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedAllen
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jotko targets the head (100% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Allen targets the head (33% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jotko
RND
Allen
0/0R00/0
Jotko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenSubmission
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Upcoming
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