METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 68: The Uprising
Columbus, USA
3 Mar 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
56%
Lambert
44%
Sobral
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:36
★ Official Result
Jason LambertwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:36
def. Renato Sobral · UFC 68: The Uprising
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lambert
→
Actual result
Lambert wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lambert at 56% vs Sobral at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lambert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Lambert has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lambert's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sobral has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LambertSobral
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lambert
Sobral
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
51
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lambert
Sobral
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
15.3
53.6
Performance Avg
49.2
56
Quality of Victory
42
59
Momentum Score
26
Lambert
Sobral
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
0.8
59%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
3Clinch2
5Ground0
Lambert
Sobral
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lambert
Sobral
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/39 fights
Chin rating based on
10/48 fights
Lambert
Sobral
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Lambert
Sobral
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lambert
Sobral
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
LambertSobral
Strike Zones
Lambert
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSobral
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lambert targets the head (78% of attacks) — Sobral absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Sobral targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lambert absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lambert
RND
Sobral
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lambert · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Sobral · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Lambert · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jason MacDonaldRating 2.8Submission
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Wilson GouveiaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 80: Rapid Fire · 2008-01
W · KO · R2
Renato SobralRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09
Sobral · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
David HeathRating 5.2Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · KO · R2
Jason LambertRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Mike van ArsdaleRating 5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10