METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 68: The Uprising
Columbus, USA
3 Mar 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
56%
Lambert
44%
Sobral
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:36
★ Official Result
Jason LambertwinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:36
def. Renato Sobral · UFC 68: The Uprising
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lambert
→
Actual result
Lambert wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lambert at 56% vs Sobral at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lambert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Lambert's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sobral has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LambertSobral
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lambert
Sobral
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
51
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lambert
Sobral
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.4
15.3
53.6
Performance Avg
49.2
56
Quality of Victory
42
59
Momentum Score
26
Lambert
Sobral
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.5
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
8.5
Style: Pressure
6.5
1.0
Style: Volume
3.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
3Clinch2
5Ground0
Lambert
Sobral
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lambert
Sobral
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/39 fights
Chin rating based on
10/48 fights
Lambert
Sobral
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
26
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Lambert
Sobral
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lambert
Sobral
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
LambertSobral
Strike Zones
Lambert
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSobral
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lambert targets the head (78% of attacks) — Sobral absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Sobral targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lambert absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lambert
RND
Sobral
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lambert · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jason MacDonaldSubmission
UFC 88: Breakthrough · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneKO/TKO
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06
L · KO · R2
Wilson GouveiaKO/TKO
UFC 80: Rapid Fire · 2008-01
W · KO · R2
Renato SobralKO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansKO/TKO
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09
Sobral · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
David HeathSubmission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · KO · R2
Jason LambertKO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellKO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Mike van ArsdaleSubmission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenSubmission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10