UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Women's Bantamweight
VS
68%
Mesquita
32%
Rendon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:07
Bia
Bia Mesquita
"The Lady GOAT"
7 – 0
5'4"67" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight win streakSubmission Hunter
CFR 79
MR
Montse Rendon
"Monster"
7 – 2
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 38

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Mesquita

Mesquita holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Rendon has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Mesquita has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.

Striking split: Rendon throws more volume but Mesquita connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Mesquita
Rendon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mesquita
Rendon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
79.2
37.5
71.0
Performance Avg
35.0
52
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
44
Mesquita
Rendon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
25%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Mesquita
Rendon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mesquita
Rendon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/7 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Mesquita
Rendon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
44
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Mesquita
Rendon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Mesquita
Rendon
Striking2.0 / 1.0Volume2.0 / 9.0Grappling8.0 / 2.4Wrestling5.6 / 1.7Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Mesquita
Strike Zones
Rendon
Mesquita
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY1LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Rendon
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY1LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Mesquita targets the head (89% of attacks) — Rendon absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Mesquita
RND
Rendon
0/0R00/0

Mesquita · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.1W5.1W2025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Rendon · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W5.8L5.8W3.7L2023-092024-032025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Mesquita · Last 3

Upcoming
Melissa Mullins
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Montse RendonRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Irina AlekseevaRating 6.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10

Rendon · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Bia MesquitaRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Alice PereiraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Daria ZhelezniakovaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Tamires VidalRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09

News & Media

Bia Mesquita · Montse Rendon
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