METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Las Vegas, USA
14 Mar 2026
Women's Bantamweight
VS
68%
Mesquita
32%
Rendon
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:07
CFR 79
★ Official Result
Bia MesquitawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:07
def. Montse Rendon · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mesquita
→
Actual result
Mesquita wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Mesquita holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Rendon has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 42 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mesquita has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Striking split: Rendon throws more volume but Mesquita connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MesquitaRendon
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mesquita
Rendon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mesquita
Rendon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
79.2
37.5
71.0
Performance Avg
35.0
52
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
44
Mesquita
Rendon
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.0
56%
Strike Accuracy
25%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
1
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Mesquita
Rendon
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mesquita
Rendon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/7 fights
Chin rating based on
4/9 fights
Mesquita
Rendon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
44
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Mesquita
Rendon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mesquita
Rendon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
MesquitaRendon
Strike Zones
Mesquita
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRendon
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mesquita targets the head (89% of attacks) — Rendon absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mesquita
RND
Rendon
0/0R00/0
Mesquita · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Rendon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Mesquita · Last 3
Upcoming
Melissa MullinsUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Sub · R1
Montse RendonRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Irina AlekseevaRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
Rendon · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Bia MesquitaRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Alice PereiraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Daria ZhelezniakovaRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Tamires VidalRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09