UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Houston, USA
15 May 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
46%
Cerminara
54%
Araujo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Katlyn
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
18 – 6
5'9"68" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 41
Viviane
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
13 – 7
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'4"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Araujo

This is a genuine toss-up — Cerminara at 46% vs Araujo at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Cerminara throws more volume but Araujo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cerminara
Araujo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
68"
Reach
68"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerminara
Araujo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
49.0
40.9
Performance Avg
38.7
25
Quality of Victory
29
85
Momentum Score
84
Cerminara
Araujo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.1
35%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
42
Head
24
9
Body
9
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
54Distance34
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Cerminara
Araujo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cerminara
Araujo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Cerminara
Araujo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
84
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Araujo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerminara
Araujo
Striking1.3 / 2.5Volume9.3 / 7.9Grappling2.4 / 2.1Wrestling1.7 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.9 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Cerminara
Strike Zones
Araujo
Cerminara
Attacking
42HEAD9BODY4LEGS55 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD9BODY2LEGS35 absorbed
Araujo
Attacking
24HEAD9BODY2LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
42HEAD9BODY4LEGS55 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (76% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Araujo targets the head (69% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerminara
RND
Araujo
0/0R00/0

Cerminara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.3W5.5L5.3W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.7W4.5W4.1L4.5W2.3L4.5W5.2W4.5W4.6W7.1L6.5L2016-072018-122020-102022-102024-03
WinLossTrend

Araujo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.8L4.9W6.7L5.6L4.5W7.0L5.7W6.2L2019-052021-012023-032025-06
WinLossTrend

Cerminara · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05

Araujo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Katlyn Cerminara · Viviane Araujo
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